File:Figure 5.2 - Temperature trends for 1960-2000 for winter (JJA).png

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Figure_5.2_-_Temperature_trends_for_1960-2000_for_winter_(JJA).png(554 × 288 pixels, file size: 145 KB, MIME type: image/png)

Temperature trends in oC/decade from 1960–2000 for winter (JJA). (a) Unweighted average of 19 models. (b) Weighted average, using weightings accorded to the individual models on the basis of their skill at reproducing modern conditions. Blue dots in (b) are the locations of the maximum trends from the individual models; four models position the maximum trend west of the Peninsula; two to the east of the Peninsula; four in the Weddell Sea; three in the seas around East Antarctica; three over the continent itself (although the magnitudes of these three trends are small); one on the Ross ice shelf and two in the Ross Sea (adapted from Connolley and Bracegirdle, 2007[1]).

  1. Connolley, W.M. and Bracegirdle, T.J. 2007. An Antarctic assessment of IPCC AR4 coupled models, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L22505, doi:10.1029/2007GL031648.

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